Critical Day Analysis

Our critical day analysis is all about trend reversals.  We tell you when there is a high potential for a reversal of the short trend and we've been doing it since 1994 with an 80%* accuracy.

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Below are the major area's of the non-members site 

Markets

In this section you will have access to end of day graphs on some of the major domestic and world markets.  Technical indicators are plotted as well as critical days on some of the graphs.  Today's markets, charts, quotes, fundamental data, futures and commodities and other market information are provided from this page as well.

Stocks

This section provides a random sampling of stocks with critical days plotted to give an investor a sense of potential application for our research in building a body of evidence when making trading decisions.

Futures

A quick look at futures with a glossary of terms.

Options

A quick look at options with a glossary of terms.

Our research

This section discusses the critical day research we do.

Technical Analysis

This section looks at some of the key concepts in technical analysis and its potential application in building a body of evidence in support of trading decisions.

Economy

Links to a current calendar of economic releases

Past Signals

A series of charts that have historical signals plotted for review and help identify how the critical day research has applied to the markets over time.

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This section contains links to sites found throughout the internet

 

The members site is made up of the following sections:

Markets

In this section you will have access to end of day graphs on some of the major domestic and world markets.  Technical indicators are plotted as well as critical days on some of the graphs.  Today's markets, charts, quotes, fundamental data, futures and commodities and other market information are provided from this page as well.

Stocks

This section contains a focus on various stocks and critical day responses. 

Options

This section is focused on option basics and some strategy discussion.

Futures

This section is focused on futures basics and strategy discussion.

Traders Pit

Contains a daily and weekly commentary with graphs to help identify significant aspects related to the financial markets and potential impact on overall demand and supply.  In this section a look at each critical day as it approaches is a focus point.

Technical Analysis

Contains a daily and weekly commentary with technical studies. 

Economy

Contains a daily and weekly commentary on Economic data as well as upcoming data releases.

Past Signals

A series of charts that have historical signals plotted for members review and help identify how the critical day research has applied to the markets over time.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions.

Critical day 

A section devoted to understanding a critical day and possible trading applications.

Links

This section contains links to sites found throughout the internet

 Walk through a critical day

The graphs show a price plot of the Dow Jones Industrials from Sept 28/00 to early November.  The First graph ends on November 3/00, two days before an upcoming critical day on November 7/00.  Our members looking at the market are expecting a trend reversal to occur due to the high rate of success in our research.  Ideally a member will be using their own skills to judge the supply and demand changes, using technical and fundamental indications to confirm suspicions of a reversal, and trade accordingly.

On the second graph we see that the price action on November 6 was a bullish day, reversing the short trend so that the short trend leading into the critical day is now up.  A critical day is an expectation of a reversal of the short trend that immediately precedes the critical day.  In the case of the November 7 signal, given to members 3 days before, is an indication that the upward moving trend, recognized at the close of November 6 is expected to reverse direction. 

On the third graph we can see that November 7 was a low volatility after a large gain on November 6 of about 160 points for the Dow Jones Industrials.  The subsequent move over the three days following the November 7 signal saw the Dow Jones Industrials fall 376 points.  The next day, November 13, the Dow Jones Industrials lost an additional 83 points with intra-day low a full 609 point loss since the open on the critical day.

Most recent signals

A closer view of the most recent signals.  You can see the short trend immediately prior to a successful critical day, reverses coming away from the critical day.  Often a failed critical day will indicate a stronger bias in the market for continuation of the trend that was in place prior to the critical day.  A failed signal can therefore provide as much information and opportunity as a successful one.  Take a look at tech studies to develop a sense of trend reversals and use.

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Revised: January 26, 2007 .

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*based on the critical days generated from 1994 to 2000 plotted on the S&P500 Index